Игра проливов
Классическая западная попытка решить кризис в Ормузском проливе с помощью прямого военного сдерживания и демонстрации военно-морской силы обречена на структурный провал.
Оценка
The West is treating the Strait of Hormuz crisis as a conventional military standoff, but the analysis warns this approach is structurally doomed. The strait's geography and the asymmetric tactics available to Iran mean a naval show of force will not produce the desired deterrent effect. What matters is whether Western planners recognize the trap before they escalate into a conflict they cannot win on their own terms. Watch for whether the response shifts toward economic or diplomatic pressure rather than additional warships.