גישה אסטרטגית ללא-שטויות לאיראן

הערכה

The succession of Mojtaba Khamenei as supreme leader marks a critical inflection point in Iran's posture, with his explicit vow of retaliation signaling a potential escalation beyond rhetoric. The convergence of his threat with intelligence about assassination plots against the U.S. president raises the stakes for any diplomatic or military engagement. The heightened security at the NATO summit underscores that these are treated as credible, not symbolic, dangers. The key question is whether this signals a coordinated strategic shift or internal pressure on the new leader to prove his toughness.