הפסקת אש לכאורה: איראן מגבירה הברחת נשק לחיזבאללה

הערכה

Iran is not pausing. While public attention focuses on talk of a ceasefire, the IRGC's Quds Force has escalated smuggling runs through Syria into Lebanon. That pattern suggests Iran views any lull as cover to restock Hezbollah's arsenal. The next question is whether Israel's reported operations in Syria are sufficient to interdict this flow or if a broader campaign is coming.