דיווח: פינלנד מחוץ לנאט"ו. אין בסיסי נאט"ו בבלטיות. כל דונבס נמסר לרוסיה.

הערכה

A leaked proposal from informal talks in Abu Dhabi reveals Moscow is demanding Finland leave NATO, the removal of NATO bases from the Baltics, and the transfer of all of Donbas to Russia. In exchange, Russia would withdraw its nuclear weapons from Belarus. The scale of these demands suggests Russia is testing maximalist positions early in negotiations, making a near-term breakthrough unlikely. Watch for official reactions from Finland, NATO, and Ukraine to gauge whether these terms are being seriously entertained or dismissed outright.