כמה יעיל ההסכם עם לבנון - הערכת מומחים

הערכה

This deal trades a diplomatic breakthrough for ambiguity on enforcement. The absence of a fixed IDF withdrawal timeline suggests both sides are buying time rather than committing to a stable end state. With Hezbollah not a signatory, the agreement's core test will be whether Lebanon's official security forces can actually control the south. If past patterns hold, this framework risks becoming another paper ceasefire that merely resets the clock until the next round.