לבנון יכולה לנהל משא ומתן עם ישראל – אך אינה יכולה לשלוט בחיזבאללה

הערכה

The US brokered diplomacy assumes Beirut can assert control over Hezbollah, but the Lebanese state lacks both the will and the capacity to confront the Iran backed militia. The gap between diplomatic hopes and on the ground power dynamics leaves any negotiated settlement fragile and uncertain.