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הערכה

Iran is pushing for a confrontation, but the assessment from Israeli and regional sources is that the U.S. president has chosen a strategy aimed at avoiding a global energy crisis and a midterm election defeat. Meanwhile, Iran's economy is deteriorating, protest signs are emerging, and both Israeli and U.S. militaries can prepare for a broad operation. Tehran is using its proxies to trigger early escalation and a ceasefire on its terms.