אביגדור ליברמן: האיש החיצוני האולטימטיבי בפוליטיקה הישראלית – חילוני מדי עבור הימין הדתי, ניצי מדי עבור המרכז-שמאל

הערכה

Liberman's outsider status is his leverage. He can extract concessions from either bloc because neither can form a government without him. His secularism blocks a right-wing coalition with the ultra-Orthodox, while his hawkishness alienates the centre-left. Watch whether he demands a unity government or plays both sides to maximize his own influence. The election outcome may hinge less on the largest party and more on his willingness to deal.