הסכם בלי חיזבאללה: למה למהלך של ישראל ולבנון אין סיכוי אמיתי להצליח?

הערכה

The reported framework agreement between Israel and Lebanon, brokered by the US, is presented as a historic achievement but has no binding force over Hezbollah. Because the deal was negotiated only with the Lebanese government, which lacks the capacity to disarm the militia, it risks remaining a symbolic gesture. The critical question is whether any diplomatic path exists that can compel Hezbollah to surrender its weapons without direct engagement or a full Israeli withdrawal.