Un haut responsable du Golfe à CNN : « Il y a 50 % de chances que les États-Unis et l’Iran parviennent à un accord d’ici vendredi »

Évaluation

A Gulf official familiar with the talks tells CNN there is an even chance the U.S. and Iran reach a deal by Friday, with any interim agreement requiring approval from the Revolutionary Guards. The 50:50 estimate signals genuine uncertainty rather than momentum, and the Guards' veto point suggests domestic Iranian politics could still derail whatever negotiators produce. The Friday deadline makes this a short window to watch for either an announcement or a public breakdown.