Les États-Unis s'efforcent de neutraliser le conducteur en Iran - mais de garder la voiture | Amit Yagour
Au lieu d'un coup unique qui déciderait la campagne, il semble que les États-Unis agissent progressivement pour priver le régime de sa puissance militaire, approfondir la colère publique et pousser l'armée régulière à se séparer…
Évaluation
The United States appears to be shifting from a strategy of decisive military action against Iran to a more gradual approach aimed at weakening the regime from within. The focus is on stripping military capabilities, fueling public discontent, and encouraging a split between the regular army and the Revolutionary Guards. This suggests a longer-term campaign rather than a single strike, with the goal of destabilizing the regime's internal cohesion. The key development to watch is whether the regular military actually distances itself from the Guards, as that would signal a significant fracture in Iran's power structure.