Les services de renseignement occidentaux confient au Telegraph que la Russie intensifie le sabotage clandestin contre les usines de défense européennes qui fournissent l'Ukraine.
Moscou recrute désormais des criminels locaux en ligne et paie en cryptomonnaie, restant en dessous du seuil de l'article 5 de l'OTAN tout en conservant une dénégation plausible.
Évaluation
Russia is outsourcing sabotage to local criminals recruited online, with cryptocurrency payments that obscure attribution. The strategy deliberately stays under NATO's Article 5 threshold, letting Moscow disrupt European arms production for Ukraine without open conflict. The key risk is that deniable attacks accumulate faster than governments can prove state involvement. Watch for whether European defence plants harden security and whether any attack crosses the line into open retaliation.