La economía de Oriente Medio se contraerá un 2,1% en 2026, las economías del Golfo un 4,3%, según previsiones del Banco Mundial
A pesar de las sombrías previsiones, el Banco Mundial proyecta que las economías regionales podrían recuperarse un 7,8% en 2027 si el conflicto termina este año, aunque el bloqueo de Ormuz y la inflación siguen…
Valoración
The World Bank is signaling that the economic damage from the current conflict is not a short-term blip but a structural drag that will deepen into 2026. The Gulf states, often seen as insulated, are forecast to take a disproportionate hit at 4.3 percent, likely because of the Hormuz blockade disrupting oil and trade flows. The 7.8 percent rebound projection for 2027 is conditional on the conflict ending this year, which makes the timeline for a ceasefire an immediate economic question. Watch whether the blockade and inflation force policy shifts before the 2026 contraction materializes.