Iran considered targeting Ukraine with ballistic missiles after strike on Iranian ship - report
People with knowledge of the matter expected Iran to fire a ballistic missile with a small warhead at Ukraine as a show of strength
Assessment
Iran's reported consideration of striking Ukraine with a ballistic missile signals a possible expansion of its military targets beyond the Middle East. The motivation appears to be a retaliatory show of strength following a strike on an Iranian ship. Whether Tehran will actually execute such a strike, and how Ukraine and its allies might respond, are the key questions ahead.