Treasure of 15 mandates at stake: Hundreds of thousands of ballots may decide the elections
Approximately 600-650 thousand double envelopes may change the distribution of mandates and the balance of blocs. Past experience indicates a relative advantage for the Zionist parties, and strategic advisor Roni Hirsch points to Likud, Yisrael…
Assessment
More than half a million double envelopes are in play, enough to shift roughly 15 Knesset seats. Past elections show these ballots tend to favor Zionist parties, giving strategic adviser Roni Hersh reason to flag Likud, Yisrael Beiteinu, and the Hendel-Zalicha list as potential beneficiaries. The real question is whether the margin between blocs is narrow enough for these votes to actually flip the outcome.