Half a year into the war, in Iran they return to talk about protests: "People are hungry. Nothing will stop this."
Inflation is skyrocketing, basic goods are already hard to obtain, and fuel may also become more expensive. Iran does not shy away from means when it needs to suppress protests and has already killed tens…
Assessment
Six months into the war, Iran's economic crisis is deepening to the point where basic goods are becoming scarce and fuel prices may rise. A Tehran resident tells the New York Times that an economic uprising cannot be stopped, even as the regime has killed tens of thousands to suppress past protests. The regime's internal messaging reveals anxiety: Khamenei's son warns against statements that provoke despair, suggesting the leadership fears the economic pressure more than it lets on. Watch for whether rising prices and hunger translate into sustained street action, and how the regime's security apparatus responds.