Shapiro leads GOP state treasurer big in Pennsylvania gov’s race, which could have implications for 2028 presidential election
“You’ve got to win Pennsylvania to win the presidency. Presumably, if you can win Pennsylvania, you can win Wisconsin and Michigan as well,” Berwood Yost, director of the Franklin & Marshall College poll, told JNS
Assessment
Josh Shapiro's commanding lead in the Pennsylvania governor's race is more than a state matter. The poll director's logic that winning Pennsylvania unlocks Wisconsin and Michigan makes this an early 2028 presidential bellwether. If Shapiro cruises now, his national operation and donor network will be battle-tested years early. Watch whether this lead holds through Election Day and what it tells about his coalition.