Will the JCPOA Lead to a Saudi Nuclear Weapon, Too?

US President Donald Trump greets Saudi Crown Prince and Prime Minister Mohammed bin Salman, during a dinner at the White House in Washington, DC, US, Nov. 18, 2025. Photo: REUTERS/Tom Brenner TPX IMAGES OF THE…
Assessment
The nuclear deal being negotiated with Saudi Arabia raises the possibility of a nuclear-armed kingdom in the Middle East, a shift from past US nonproliferation policy. The central question is whether the agreement will include restrictions that prevent enrichment and reprocessing capabilities. If the deal lacks those limits, Saudi Arabia could develop a weapons option, potentially triggering a regional arms race with Iran and other neighbors. Congress is signaling concern, which may affect ratification or terms.
