Who is worried and who might benefit from Ofer Winter's run
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Assessment
Israel's security establishment is increasingly signaling concern about far-right violence in the West Bank, with the army chief warning the defense minister and prime minister about potential loss of control. The Shin Bet is escalating operational action against Jewish terrorism. Meanwhile, the political calculus around Ofer Winter's potential run is generating anxiety inside both Netanyahu's bloc and Gantz's camp. The worry is a scenario where neither of them ends up as prime minister, not the security situation itself.