Netanyahu's nightmare revealed: how the right lost up to 25 mandates
The election campaign is only just beginning, but all party headquarters are already recording the same picture: after the war, Israeli society has noticeably shifted to the right, but the right-wing bloc itself, represented by…
Assessment
A reported gap between a rightward shift in Israeli society and weakening support for the right-wing coalition suggests the current governing bloc is failing to convert postwar sentiment into electoral loyalty. The estimate that 15 to 25 mandates worth of right-leaning voters are currently withholding support from Likud, Religious Zionism, and Otzma Yehudit signals potential fragmentation. If these voters do not coalesce behind the coalition parties, the resulting dispersal could shift the balance of power. The critical question is whether the coalition can reverse this trend before ballots are cast.