Why Is Iran Avoiding Attacking Israel?
Iran is refraining for now from launching a direct and widespread attack against Israel, primarily out of fear of targeted reprisals against its leading figures and vital infrastructure, according to an Iranian security expert. Beni…
Assessment
Iran is holding back from a full-scale strike on Israel because its leadership fears direct retaliation on Tehran itself. Recent protests have exposed the regime's vulnerability at its power center, making a major military escalation too risky. The key question is whether this restraint holds if Iran perceives an existential threat.