Gulf official to CNN: "50:50 chance that the US and Iran will reach a deal by Friday"
A Gulf official, described as being privy to the negotiations, told CNN that there is a "50:50 chance" that the United States and Iran will reach a deal by Friday. According to him, any interim…
Assessment
A Gulf official familiar with the talks tells CNN there is an even chance the U.S. and Iran reach a deal by Friday, with any interim agreement requiring approval from the Revolutionary Guards. The 50:50 estimate signals genuine uncertainty rather than momentum, and the Guards' veto point suggests domestic Iranian politics could still derail whatever negotiators produce. The Friday deadline makes this a short window to watch for either an announcement or a public breakdown.