Report: Finland out of NATO. No NATO bases in the Baltics. All of Donbas handed to Russia.
Those are among Moscow's demands at informal peace talks in Abu Dhabi, per a leaked proposal obtained by Bild. In return, Russia would pull its nuclear weapons from Belarus.
Assessment
A leaked proposal from informal talks in Abu Dhabi reveals Moscow is demanding Finland leave NATO, the removal of NATO bases from the Baltics, and the transfer of all of Donbas to Russia. In exchange, Russia would withdraw its nuclear weapons from Belarus. The scale of these demands suggests Russia is testing maximalist positions early in negotiations, making a near-term breakthrough unlikely. Watch for official reactions from Finland, NATO, and Ukraine to gauge whether these terms are being seriously entertained or dismissed outright.