Not Just the Mandates: The Statistic That Could Decide the Elections - and Should Worry Netanyahu | Maariv Poll
The Maariv poll reveals that opposition supporters and the Arab sector are significantly more certain they will vote compared to coalition supporters. Meanwhile, anger among residents of the North threatens to keep Likud strongholds at…
Assessment
A new Maariv poll reveals a significant enthusiasm gap between opposition and coalition voters, with opposition and Arab sector supporters far more certain they will vote. This disparity in turnout intention, rather than raw seat projections, could determine the election outcome. The data also shows growing anger among northern residents, a traditional Likud stronghold, threatening to keep those voters home. The key question is whether this motivation gap will persist or if coalition voters will mobilize as election day approaches.