Tehran’s military escalation may prove another strategic miscalculation
The Islamic Republic seems to believe it is raising the cost for the US and strengthening its hand; in reality, it is weakening a regime already under unprecedented strain
Assessment
Tehran's military escalation is framed as a miscalculation that exposes rather than strengthens the regime. The Islamic Republic appears to believe it is raising costs for the US, but the move is weakening a government already under unprecedented internal strain. The next question is whether this strategic error accelerates the regime's instability.