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Iran’s regime is losing the ability to govern

Wars are not always won by destroying armies. Sometimes, they are won by destroying a regime’s ability to govern. The available indicators suggest that if the reported operational pattern reflects conditions on the ground, the…

— jns

Assessment

The United States has shifted its campaign against Iran from degrading military capabilities to eroding the regime's ability to govern, targeting bridges, ports, and electrical infrastructure. This strategy aims to collapse logistics and finance, potentially accelerating the regime's loss of control. The reported operational pattern suggests a new phase, but its effectiveness depends on whether it reflects actual conditions.

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