Hormuz Open? The Data Shows Otherwise - And the Mediator's Fear of the Deepening Divide in Iran
The US President said repeatedly this week that 'the strait is open' - but yesterday only 8 ships passed through Hormuz, almost all via the route approved by Iran. The Americans published documentation of the…
Assessment
The gap between U.S. claims about the Strait of Hormuz being open and the actual traffic data suggests a strategic disconnect or deliberate messaging. Only eight ships passed through, mostly on Iran-approved routes, indicating Tehran still exerts significant control. The U.S. video of a destroyed naval control tower adds a military dimension, while Pakistan's fear of being dragged into a conflict over attacks on Saudi Arabia points to widening regional instability. The observation that Iran's military appears to be driving decision-making raises questions about internal power dynamics and the risk of escalation.