After Khamenei, nothing has changed – but that could change
The ink was barely dry when the violations resumed. Three days after the signing, Iran, citing Israeli operations against Hezbollah in Lebanon, again declared the Strait of Hormuz closed.
Assessment
The claim that Iran reopened the Strait of Hormuz three days after a signed agreement signals that the deal was fragile from the start. The stated justification linking the closure to Israeli operations against Hezbollah in Lebanon suggests Tehran is using regional conflicts as leverage. The key question is whether this is a temporary pressure tactic or the beginning of a broader escalation that could disrupt global oil shipments.