'Agreement drives a wedge between Iran and Lebanon'
Israel achieved a substantial strategic gain in the newly signed trilateral framework with Lebanon and the United States by wedging Lebanon away from Iran, yet there is significant doubt over the Lebanese Armed Forces' ability…
Assessment
The new trilateral framework between Israel, Lebanon, and the United States appears designed to isolate Iran by pulling Lebanon into a separate diplomatic track. The core question is whether the Lebanese Armed Forces can actually enforce the deal against Hezbollah, which remains deeply embedded in the country. Observers express significant doubt about near-term implementation. The agreement's success hinges on whether Lebanon's state institutions can assert real sovereignty over armed non-state actors.