9-7 mandates from the moderate right will decide. Netanyahu is trying to arrange them.
"I lost a bit of weight": Why the Prime Minister's statement about October 7 will not hurt him in the elections, and how it is related to Trump | The challenge for Bennett and Eizenkot:…
Assessment
A narrow slice of moderate right-wing voters, currently polling around 9 to 7 seats, will likely decide the next Israeli election. Netanyahu is maneuvering to reclaim these voters, while figures like Bennett and Eisenkot compete for the same floating bloc. The reported quote from the prime minister about October 7 suggests he believes the security failure will not erode his political standing, a calculation that will be tested in upcoming campaign dynamics. Meanwhile, new testimony about the night of October 7 from an intelligence officer in the Gaza Division adds another layer to the public reckoning still unfolding.